2012 Election a 50/50 Proposition For Obama, Top Pollster Says

by news on May 24, 2012

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2012 Election a 50/50 Proposition For Obama, Top Pollster Says 

Orlando Sentinel: Few strategists watch American politics with greater sophistication than Peter D. Hart. In addition to his work for Democratic candidates, the Washington-based pollster has been conducting opinion surveys for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal since 1989. He’s one of the rare individuals in politics whose judgment is respected by insiders in both parties. So, when he has something to say, he’s well worth paying attention to…he perceives an electorate that is “wanting wholesale change for the fourth election in a row.”  Comparing 2012 to 1992 — the last time a president was unseated — he notes that economic confidence, as measured by the latest University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index, is at 76. It was 77 when the first president Bush was headed for defeat.

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